金融時(shí)報(bào)：中國今年或?qū)⒊墒澜缱畲蟪隹趪?/title> <meta name="filetype" content="0"> <meta name="publishedtype" content="1"> <meta name="pagetype" content="1"> <meta name="catalogs" content="43"> <meta name="contentid" content="959810"> <meta name="publishdate" content="2009-07-27"> <meta name="author" content="王曉燕"> <meta name="source" content="新華網(wǎng)"> <meta name="keywords" content="中國"> <meta name="description" content="海外看中國,中國臺灣,臺獨(dú),國民黨,民進(jìn)黨,臺商,臺胞,馬英九,陳水扁,兩岸,統(tǒng)一,謝長廷,公投,臺臺灣,入聯(lián),三通,大陸,臺辦,立委,立法院" /> <meta content="海外看中國,中國臺灣,臺獨(dú),國民黨,民進(jìn)黨,臺商,臺胞,馬英九,陳水扁,兩岸,統(tǒng)一,謝長廷,公投,臺臺灣,入聯(lián),三通,大陸,臺辦,立委,立法院" name="keywords" /> <link rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" href="../../../images/newsletter_view.css"> <style>  </style> <script type="text/javascript" src="../../../images/txtsize.js"></script> <script type="text/javascript" src="../../../images/jquery.js"></script> <script type="text/javascript" src="../../../images/jquery.jfeed.pack.js"></script> <script 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class="mainbox_01"style="border-bottom:#999 1px solid; margin-bottom:10px;"> <h1>金融時(shí)報(bào)：中國今年或?qū)⒊墒澜缱畲蟪隹趪?/h1> </div> <div id="5tp7t7trprp" class="mainbox_01"style="text-align:center;color:#006aa2"> 時(shí)間：2009-07-27 14:41　　　來源：新華網(wǎng)</div> <div id="5tp7t7trprp" class="mainbox_02" id="textsize"><P>　　英國《金融時(shí)報(bào)》7月22日發(fā)表文章，題目是“中國很可能成為最大的出口國”，摘要如下：</P> <P>　　世界貿(mào)易組織今天說，由于亞洲生氣勃勃的經(jīng)濟(jì)體表現(xiàn)出引領(lǐng)全球貿(mào)易回升的跡象，中國很可能在今年超過德國，成為最大的商品出口國。</P> <P>　　世貿(mào)組織的一份報(bào)告再次預(yù)測，今年全球貿(mào)易額將下降10%，是60年來的最大降幅。不過，正在新加坡參加亞太經(jīng)濟(jì)合作組織貿(mào)易官員會議的世貿(mào)組織總干事帕斯卡爾·拉米說，下滑的勢頭看來有所減緩。</P> <P>　　同樣在新加坡的世貿(mào)組織首席經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家帕特里克·洛說，歐洲經(jīng)濟(jì)的疲軟表現(xiàn)可能使德國今年的出口落后于中國。</P> <P>　　國際金融機(jī)構(gòu)估計(jì)，今年晚些時(shí)候的全球經(jīng)濟(jì)好轉(zhuǎn)會使中國在貿(mào)易方面更快得到好處。這次經(jīng)濟(jì)好轉(zhuǎn)將由新興經(jīng)濟(jì)體引領(lǐng)。</P> <P>　　世貿(mào)組織的報(bào)告說，去年，中國的商品出口額為1.428萬億美元，僅略低于德國的1.465萬億美元。</P> <P>　　與此同時(shí)，聯(lián)合國貿(mào)易和發(fā)展會議今天公布的一項(xiàng)投資前景調(diào)查顯示，中國仍是未來外國直接投資的頭號目的地。回答問卷的240家跨國公司將美國列在第二位，接下來是所謂的“金磚四國”的其他國家———印度、巴西和俄羅斯。</P> <P>　　聯(lián)合國貿(mào)發(fā)會議說，接受調(diào)查者估計(jì)，外國直接投資在今年大幅下降以后，將從2010年開始緩慢回升，2011年積聚勢頭。</P> <P>　　聯(lián)合國貿(mào)發(fā)會議投資和企業(yè)司司長詹曉寧說，今年全球外國直接投資可能下降“近一半”。此前，2008年的外國直接投資從2007年的最高點(diǎn)1.94萬億美元降至1.66萬億美元。</P> <P>　　然而，跨國公司并不打算扭轉(zhuǎn)經(jīng)營的國際化，聯(lián)合國貿(mào)發(fā)會議因此預(yù)測，2011年外國直接投資會全面回升。接受調(diào)查的跨國公司有一半表示，它們估計(jì)2011年的外國直接投資會超過2008年。</P> <P>　　據(jù)路透社22日報(bào)道，世界貿(mào)易組織今天稱，亞洲正在引領(lǐng)世界貿(mào)易復(fù)蘇，但預(yù)測，全球貿(mào)易額今年仍將縮水10%。</P> <P>　　世貿(mào)組織今天公布了對2009年世界貿(mào)易的預(yù)期，將此前全球貿(mào)易額將下降9%的預(yù)期修正為10%。</P> <P>　　正在新加坡參加亞太經(jīng)合組織會議的貿(mào)易官員對他們所在經(jīng)濟(jì)體的貿(mào)易前景表示謹(jǐn)慎樂觀。給全球經(jīng)濟(jì)復(fù)蘇帶來最大希望的中國表示，其出口下降趨勢可能在下半年得到緩解。</P> <P>　　世貿(mào)組織稱，2008年發(fā)展中國家的出口額占世界貿(mào)易額的比重達(dá)到了38%的歷史最高點(diǎn)。</P> <P>　　去年，德國保住了其作為世界第一大商品出口國的地位。</P> <P>　　中國的出口在2008年底出現(xiàn)衰退。盡管中國對美國的出口在2008年第三季度增長了14%，但全年的增幅僅為1%。（編輯：劉瑞常）</P> 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