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height:80px; font-size:12px; border:1px solid #eee; display:none;"> <SCRIPT LANGUAGE="javascript">  </SCRIPT> </div>   <div class="h1hhhffj1h" id="mbox" style="width:690px; margin-left:0;"> <div id="h1hhhffj1h" class="sharebox03"> <div id="h1hhhffj1h" class="mainbox_01" style="color:#006aa2;"> <div id="h1hhhffj1h" class="itmleft"><a href="../../../" target="_blank" class='curplace'>首頁(yè)</a>-<a href="../../" target="_blank" class='curplace'>新聞中心</a>-<a href="../" target="_blank" class='curplace'>國(guó)際</a></div> <div id="h1hhhffj1h" class="itmright">字號(hào)：<a href="javascript:doZoom(16)">大</a> <a href="javascript:doZoom(14)">中</a> <a href="javascript:doZoom(12)">小</a> </div> </div> <div id="h1hhhffj1h" class="mainbox_01"style="border-bottom:#999 1px solid; margin-bottom:10px;"> <h1>分析稱法國(guó)槍擊案或?qū)⑵仁狗ǚ此计浒⒏缓拐?/h1> </div> <div id="h1hhhffj1h" class="mainbox_01"style="text-align:center;color:#006aa2"> 時(shí)間：2012-03-22 10:22　　來(lái)源：中國(guó)青年報(bào)</div> <div id="h1hhhffj1h" class="mainbox_02" id="textsize"><style type="text/css"> </style> <p>　　法國(guó)本土產(chǎn)生了極端伊斯蘭主義分子并連作血腥大案，令很多法國(guó)人不愿接受這一事實(shí)。不少分析認(rèn)為，這起連環(huán)槍擊案將給法國(guó)社會(huì)帶來(lái)巨大創(chuàng)傷，并再度撕裂本已脆弱的族群關(guān)系。</p> <p>　　<strong>這是系列恐怖襲擊</strong></p> <p>　　行兇槍手的極端伊斯蘭主義者身份，使這起連環(huán)槍擊案已不再是簡(jiǎn)單的刑事案件，而是系列恐怖襲擊事件。</p> <p>　　這是1995年巴黎地鐵爆炸案后，法國(guó)時(shí)隔17年再次在本土遭到恐怖襲擊。這一點(diǎn)具有重大政治意義。</p> <p>　　2001年美國(guó)“9·11”事件后，英國(guó)、西班牙也都曾遭到恐怖襲擊。法國(guó)反恐部門當(dāng)時(shí)不斷提醒，法國(guó)面臨嚴(yán)重的恐怖襲擊風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。反恐部門的預(yù)測(cè)不幸今天終成現(xiàn)實(shí)。</p> <p>　　<strong>法國(guó)社會(huì)必將加重分裂</strong></p> <p>　　兇犯的反猶動(dòng)機(jī)和極端伊斯蘭主義者的身份得到證實(shí)，這極有可能加劇法國(guó)國(guó)內(nèi)穆斯林與猶太人的對(duì)立，造成法國(guó)社會(huì)分裂�！�9·11”事件后美國(guó)人對(duì)穆斯林的排斥，很可能將在法國(guó)重演。</p> <p>　　“摩托殺手”的行為，在已有嚴(yán)重反穆斯林情緒的法國(guó)社會(huì)又制造了一個(gè)巨大的傷口。這個(gè)傷口估計(jì)很長(zhǎng)時(shí)間都難以愈合。</p> <p>　　在疑犯身份和殺人動(dòng)機(jī)被確認(rèn)之后，法國(guó)穆斯林社團(tuán)負(fù)責(zé)人第一時(shí)間即通過(guò)法國(guó)電視臺(tái)表示，99%的伊斯蘭信徒是和平主義者，連環(huán)槍擊案的元兇是極少數(shù)暴力、極端分子的一員。這名負(fù)責(zé)人希望法國(guó)民眾不要把兇犯與穆斯林“畫等號(hào)”。</p> <p>　　<strong>“薩科齊的勝利”</strong></p> <p>　　法國(guó)警方在猶太學(xué)校槍擊案發(fā)生不到48小時(shí)即鎖定兇手并展開抓捕，向民眾展示了警方的辦案效率和能力。</p> <p>　　薩科齊宣布暫停參加總統(tǒng)大選活動(dòng)，脫下候選人的外衣，再次穿上總統(tǒng)外衣，親自督戰(zhàn)，贏得了民眾的欣賞和信任，有利于扭轉(zhuǎn)他在大選中不利的局勢(shì)。</p> <p>　　一名法國(guó)執(zhí)政黨成員日前接受中國(guó)青年報(bào)記者采訪時(shí)還說(shuō)，對(duì)薩科齊的連任前景非常悲觀，“除非有特殊事情發(fā)生，薩科齊很難連任”。</p> <p>　　現(xiàn)在，“特殊事情”發(fā)生了，而且薩科齊處理得很好。有分析說(shuō)，這是“薩科齊的勝利”。</p> </div> <div id="h1hhhffj1h" class="coupage"> <style type="text/css"> .hc { PADDING: 0px; 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