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href="javascript:doZoom(16)">大</a> <a href="javascript:doZoom(14)">中</a> <a href="javascript:doZoom(13)">小</a> </div> </div> <div id="15ffhf7h" class="mainbox_01"style="border-bottom:#999 1px solid; margin-bottom:10px;"> <h1>兩岸政策釋出利多臺(tái)灣經(jīng)濟(jì)或?qū)⒂瓉怼按航?/h1> </div> <div id="15ffhf7h" class="mainbox_01"style="text-align:center;color:#006aa2"> 時(shí)間:2009-05-08 08:30　　　來源：新華網(wǎng)</div> <div id="15ffhf7h" class="mainbox_02" id="textsize" style="font-size:14px;"><P>　　新華網(wǎng)臺(tái)北5月7日電（記者　張勇）受“陸資來臺(tái)”等一系列利好消息刺激，臺(tái)北股市最近4個(gè)交易日持續(xù)上揚(yáng)，并一舉站上10年線，截至5月6日的累積漲幅已高達(dá)43％，在全球股市中名列前茅。6日當(dāng)天的臺(tái)股不僅指數(shù)創(chuàng)下近8個(gè)月新高，成交量也放大至2427億元（新臺(tái)幣，下同），刷新1年多來的成交紀(jì)錄。 </P> <P>　　作為經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的晴雨表，臺(tái)股的強(qiáng)勢表現(xiàn)，對(duì)于深受國際金融危機(jī)影響的臺(tái)灣經(jīng)濟(jì)而言，在某種意義上具有“春江水暖鴨先知”的指標(biāo)效應(yīng)。 </P> <P>　　兩岸“三通”的實(shí)現(xiàn)、兩岸經(jīng)貿(mào)的良性互動(dòng)以及兩岸關(guān)系的和平穩(wěn)定發(fā)展，是近期臺(tái)股強(qiáng)勢上漲的有力“推手”。臺(tái)灣《中國時(shí)報(bào)》日前發(fā)表社論指出，過去因兩岸關(guān)系緊張等因素，造成臺(tái)灣金融市場出現(xiàn)“折價(jià)”現(xiàn)象。去年以來兩岸關(guān)系好轉(zhuǎn)，臺(tái)股因而展開“價(jià)值重估”行情，這為臺(tái)灣金融市場帶來強(qiáng)力支撐。 </P> <P>　　匯豐證券臺(tái)股研究部主管王萬里認(rèn)為，兩岸政策不斷釋出利多、景氣轉(zhuǎn)穩(wěn)，吸引資金不斷涌入臺(tái)灣股市。還有業(yè)者估算，目前排隊(duì)等著進(jìn)場的外資資金預(yù)計(jì)在2000億元左右。 </P> <P>　　臺(tái)灣工商建設(shè)研究會(huì)理事長賴正鎰則表示，股市是經(jīng)濟(jì)櫥窗與指標(biāo)，臺(tái)股連續(xù)大漲顯示人們對(duì)于臺(tái)灣經(jīng)濟(jì)的信心正在恢復(fù)。 </P> <P>　　與此同時(shí)，臺(tái)灣房地產(chǎn)業(yè)近來也漸露曙光。有分析人士認(rèn)為，由于兩岸資本將趨向雙向互動(dòng)，臺(tái)灣房價(jià)明年有望回升8％，尤其是商用不動(dòng)產(chǎn)與高級(jí)住宅的行情值得看好。即使開放陸資來臺(tái)后，短期買進(jìn)意愿或許不會(huì)太高，但隨著兩岸經(jīng)貿(mào)往來頻繁所帶來的“資本連結(jié)”效應(yīng)，需求將會(huì)逐步浮現(xiàn)。而且，隨著臺(tái)灣低利率、減稅與遺贈(zèng)稅調(diào)降等措施發(fā)揮成效，將持續(xù)吸引陸資、臺(tái)商資金和外資流入臺(tái)灣房地產(chǎn)市場。 </P> <P>　　投資方面，臺(tái)灣第一季度吸引僑外商投資金額的衰退之勢已出現(xiàn)緩和跡象，1至3月的平均衰退幅度不到一成，遠(yuǎn)低于1月份的六成減幅。 </P> <P>　　臺(tái)灣自去年9月以來實(shí)施大規(guī)模寬松貨幣政策，為市場提供充沛的資金動(dòng)能。有經(jīng)濟(jì)專家指出，如果下半年臺(tái)灣經(jīng)濟(jì)景氣能夠持續(xù)回暖，并帶動(dòng)金融機(jī)構(gòu)投資與放款加速增長，讓貨幣乘數(shù)效應(yīng)得以充分發(fā)揮，預(yù)期貨幣總計(jì)數(shù)還將進(jìn)一步加速增長。 </P> <P>　　對(duì)于臺(tái)灣經(jīng)濟(jì)前景，臺(tái)當(dāng)局經(jīng)濟(jì)主管部門負(fù)責(zé)人持較為審慎的樂觀態(tài)度。臺(tái)“經(jīng)建會(huì)”主委陳添枝6日表示，雖然從出口與工業(yè)生產(chǎn)來看，今年臺(tái)灣全年經(jīng)濟(jì)增幅要由負(fù)轉(zhuǎn)正很難，但目前股價(jià)指數(shù)與貨幣供給兩項(xiàng)指標(biāo)已經(jīng)明顯回升，今年第二季度的經(jīng)濟(jì)表現(xiàn)會(huì)比第一季度好，到了第三、第四季度情況會(huì)更好。 </P> <P style="MARGIN: 0px">　　此間也有業(yè)內(nèi)人士表示，由于金融危機(jī)對(duì)全球經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響仍未見底，歐美等消費(fèi)市場需求尚未回升等因素將對(duì)臺(tái)灣經(jīng)濟(jì)好轉(zhuǎn)產(chǎn)生不利影響，但總體而言，臺(tái)灣經(jīng)濟(jì)仍值得期待。</P> <P style="MARGIN: 0px"> </P> <P style="MARGIN: 0px">　<A href="http://whygutenberg.com/xwzx/" target=_blank><FONT color=#3333ff><STRONG>點(diǎn)擊更多新聞進(jìn)入新聞中心</STRONG></FONT></A>　<A href="http://whygutenberg.com/xwzx/tw/" target=_blank><STRONG><FONT 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